Contribuciones Al Análisis de Riesgos Adversarios
Author | : Jorge González Ortega |
Publisher | : |
Total Pages | : 142 |
Release | : 2018 |
ISBN-10 | : OCLC:1099421930 |
ISBN-13 | : |
Rating | : 4/5 (30 Downloads) |
Book excerpt: Game theory and other group decision-making paradigms, see Gibbons [1992], have been regarded for a long time inadequate in most risk analysis applications. However, thanks to the urge to take into account the strategies of adversaries in contexts such as counter terrorism, economic competition or cybersecurity, a growing interest on these once dismissed methodologies has arisen. Adversarial Risk Analysis (ARA) [Ros Insua et al., 2009] is an emergent frameworkfor supporting a decision-maker (she) who faces opponents (he/they) in conflict situationsfor which the consequences are random and determined by all interacting agents' actions. ARA provides one-sided prescriptive help to the decision-maker, maximising her expected utility while treating her adversaries' decisions as random variables...