Macroeconomic Consequences of Tariffs

Download or Read eBook Macroeconomic Consequences of Tariffs PDF written by Davide Furceri and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2019-01-15 with total page 57 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle.
Macroeconomic Consequences of Tariffs
Author :
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
Total Pages : 57
Release :
ISBN-10 : 9781484390061
ISBN-13 : 1484390067
Rating : 4/5 (61 Downloads)

Book Synopsis Macroeconomic Consequences of Tariffs by : Davide Furceri

Book excerpt: We study the macroeconomic consequences of tariffs. We estimate impulse response functions from local projections using a panel of annual data that spans 151 countries over 1963-2014. We find that tariff increases lead, in the medium term, to economically and statistically significant declines in domestic output and productivity. Tariff increases also result in more unemployment, higher inequality, and real exchange rate appreciation, but only small effects on the trade balance. The effects on output and productivity tend to be magnified when tariffs rise during expansions, for advanced economies, and when tariffs go up, not down. Our results are robust to a large number of perturbations to our methodology, and we complement our analysis with industry-level data.


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A Foreign Affairs Best Book of the Year: “Tells the history of American trade policy . . . [A] grand narrative [that] also debunks trade-policy myths.” —E